topics in probability for statistics

Logo

course website for ubc stat 547c fall 2021 (Winter Term 1)

Schedule (subject to change, last updated 10/13/21)

As of October 13, we’re one class meeting behind the schedule below.

Required readings are from Jacod and Protter, Probability Essentials, 2nd edition (2004).

Class meeting Date Notes Topics Readings (required) Readings (supplemental) Assignments (out) Assignments (due)
1 9/8   Intro & logistics; big picture Ch. 1      
               
2 9/13   Axioms Ch. 2      
3 9/15   Basic probability Ch. 3-4   Assignment 1  
               
4 9/20   Random variables on countable spaces Ch. 5      
5 9/22   Construction of a probability measure Ch. 6   Assignment 2 Assignment 1
               
6 9/27   Construction of a probability measure on the real line Ch. 7      
7 9/29   Random variables Ch. 8   Assignment 3 Assignment 2
               
8 10/4   Integration and expectation - part 1 Ch. 9      
9 10/6   Integration and expectation - part 2 Ch. 9     Assignment 3
               
- 10/11   No class        
10 10/13   Independent random variables Ch. 10   Assignment 4  
               
11 10/18   Probability distributions on the real line, R Ch. 11      
12 10/20   Probability distributions on Rn Ch. 12   Assignment 5 Assignment 4
               
13 10/25   Probability distributions continued, review        
14 10/27   TBD, midterm (take-home)       Assignment 5
               
15 11/1   Characteristic functions and sums of random variables Ch. 13-15      
16 11/3   Gaussian random variables Ch. 16   Assignment 6  
               
17 11/8   Convergence of random variables Ch. 17      
- 11/10   No class        
               
17 11/15   Weak convergence Ch. 18      
18 11/17   Weak convergence and characteristic functions, laws of large numbers Ch. 19-20   Assignment 7 Assignment 6
               
19 11/22   Central Limit Theorem Ch. 21      
20 11/24   L2 and Hilbert spaces Ch. 22   Assignment 8 Assignment 7
               
21 11/29   Conditional expectation! - part 1 Ch. 23      
22 12/1   Conditional expectation! - part 2 Ch. 23     Assignment 8
               
23 12/6   Conditional probability, Markov kernels, etc. tbd